Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.070352 0.081901 0.094673 0.109834 0.127330 0.146878 0.170368
2024-10-20 0.050499 0.065148 0.082989 0.106270 0.135811 0.172002 0.219674
2024-10-27 0.038632 0.054126 0.074508 0.103192 0.142423 0.194101 0.267244
2024-11-03 0.032428 0.048666 0.071442 0.105558 0.155191 0.224570 0.328699
2024-11-10 0.028590 0.045539 0.070663 0.110373 0.171286 0.260859 0.402174
2024-11-17 0.025082 0.042153 0.068747 0.112855 0.183786 0.292900 0.472837
2024-11-24 0.021871 0.038618 0.065928 0.113266 0.192750 0.320145 0.538850
2024-12-01 0.019107 0.035328 0.062932 0.112778 0.199886 0.344891 0.603221
2024-12-08 0.016680 0.032212 0.059724 0.111355 0.205026 0.366578 0.664503
2024-12-15 0.015377 0.030913 0.059468 0.114986 0.219228 0.404931 0.758368
2024-12-22 0.014191 0.029644 0.059058 0.118202 0.232921 0.443638 0.856790
2024-12-29 0.013243 0.028688 0.059083 0.122175 0.248369 0.486943 0.967987
2025-01-05 0.012277 0.027587 0.058743 0.125512 0.263228 0.531193 1.086782
2025-01-12 0.010734 0.025038 0.055157 0.121832 0.263714 0.547955 1.154152
2025-01-19 0.009427 0.022802 0.051915 0.118420 0.264269 0.564787 1.223337
2025-01-26 0.008780 0.021967 0.051559 0.121151 0.278066 0.609855 1.355286
2025-02-02 0.008401 0.021698 0.052415 0.126660 0.298507 0.670811 1.527083
2025-02-09 0.007866 0.020971 0.052125 0.129497 0.313272 0.721080 1.680889
2025-02-16 0.007235 0.019906 0.050899 0.129967 0.322633 0.760413 1.814448
2025-02-23 0.006612 0.018765 0.049335 0.129410 0.329483 0.794746 1.940124
2025-03-02 0.005999 0.017555 0.047441 0.127785 0.333542 0.823035 2.054609
2025-03-09 0.005729 0.017247 0.047801 0.131932 0.352319 0.887667 2.261753
2025-03-16 0.005455 0.016884 0.047973 0.135605 0.370304 0.952151 2.474944